Sea-level rise and its impact on coastal zones. Adapting to sea-level rise: relative sea-level trends to 2100 for the United States.
Modern warfare or intrusion 2 series#
Precision, bias, and uncertainty for state population forecasts: an exploratory analysis of time series models. UN Statistics Division Demographic Statistics (UNdata, 2015)
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Towards a tipping point in responding to change: rising costs, fewer options for Arctic and global societies. Sea level rise, coastal development and planned retreat: analytical framework, governance principles and an Australian case study. Island abandonment and sea-level rise: an historical analog from the Chesapeake Bay, USA. Impacts of sea level rise in the New York City metropolitan area. Sea-level rise and its possible impacts given a ‘beyond 4 ☌ world’ in the twenty-first century. This is adaptation: the elimination of subsidies under the National Flood Insurance Program. Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding Impacts (NOAA, 2014) įox, S. Characterizing dynamic spatial and temporal residential density patterns from 1940–1990 across the North Central United States. Sea-level rise and sub-county population projections in coastal Georgia. Forecasting the population of census tracts by age and sex: an example of the Hamilton–Perry method in action. Estimating components of population change from census data for incongruent spatial/temporal units and attributes. Understanding the demographic implications of climate change: estimates of localized population predictions under future scenarios of sea-level rise. National Coastal Population Report, Population Trends from 1970 to 2020 (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce/US Census Bureau, 2014) Ĭurtis, K. Relative sea-level rise and the conterminous United States: consequences of potential land inundation in terms of population at risk and GDP loss. Future demographic change and its interactions with migration and climate change. Environmental influences on human migration in rural Ecuador. State and Local government plant for development of most land vulnerable to rising sea level along the US Atlantic Coast. America’s bottom-up climate change mitigation policy. Vulnerability of coastal communities to sealevel rise: a case study of Cape May county, New Jersey, USA. The Southern Diaspora: How the Great Migrations of Black and White Southerners Transformed America (Univ. Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States National Climate Assessment (US Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, Climate Program Office, 2012). Global sea level linked to global temperature. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects (eds Field, C. IPCC Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Sea Level Rise and Nuisance Flood Frequency Changes Around the United States NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 073 (NOAA, 2014) Furthermore, our population projection approach can be readily adapted to assess other hazards or to model future per capita economic impacts. These results suggest that the absence of protective measures could lead to US population movements of a magnitude similar to the twentieth century Great Migration of southern African-Americans 5. We find that a 2100 SLR of 0.9 m places a land area projected to house 4.2 million people at risk of inundation, whereas 1.8 m affects 13.1 million people-approximately two times larger than indicated by current populations. Here we address this issue by coupling a small-area population projection with a SLR vulnerability assessment across all United States coastal counties. Although it is known that many people at present inhabit areas vulnerable to SLR 2, 3, few studies have accounted for ongoing population growth when assessing the potential magnitude of future impacts 4.
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Sea-level rise (SLR) is one of the most apparent climate change stressors facing human society 1.